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一 |     随着全球主要国家加大对科技创新的投入,特别是在军事技术方面的竞争愈演愈烈,华盛顿显然意识到了自身的劣势和被超越的风险。    KAMPALA, Uganda -- Jostling for space, people jam the crowded footpaths crisscrossing a massive open market in Uganda's capital. They are mostly looking for secondhand clothing, sifting through underwear for pairs that seem new or trying on shoes despite getting pushed around in the crush.Downtown Kampala’s Owino Market has long been a go-to enclave for rich and poor people alike looking for affordable but quality-made used clothes, underscoring perceptions that Western fashion is superior to what is made at home. Discarded by Europeans and Americans, these clothes are often purchased from wholesalers and then shipped to African countries by middlemen. It's a multimillion-dollar business, with some two-thirds of people in seven countries in East Africa having “purchased at least a portion of their clothes from the secondhand clothing market,” according to a 2017 U.S. Agency for International Development study, the most recent with such details.Despite the popularity, secondhand clothes are facing increasing pushback. Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni, a semi-authoritarian leader who has held power since 1986, declared in August that he was banning imports of used clothing, saying the items are coming “from dead people.” “When a white person dies, they gather their clothes and send them to Africa,” Museveni said.Trade authorities have not yet enforced the president’s order, which needs to be backed by a legal measure such as an executive order. Other African governments also are trying to stop the shipments, saying the business amounts to dumping and undermines the growth of local textile industries. The East African Community trade bloc — consisting of Burundi, Congo, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda — has recommended banning imports of used apparel since 2016. However, member states have not enforced it at the same pace amid pressure from Washington. In Uganda, the president's order has spread panic among traders, for whom such a ban, if implemented, spells disaster. They hawk used clothes in scores of large open-air markets across the country of 45 million people, at roadside stands and even in shops in malls where it’s possible to buy secondhand clothes marketed as new.The clothes are cheap and drop further in price as traders make room for new shipments: a pair of denim jeans can go for 20 cents, a cashmere scarf for even less.At one of Uganda’s Green Shops, a chain specializing in used clothes, apparel reseller Glen Kalungi shopped for items his customers might want: vintage pants for men and cottony tops for women.“I am a thrift shopper,” he said. “I usually come to these Green Shops to check out clothes because they have the best prices around town.”Kalungi likes to visit on clearance days when he can buy clothes for a fraction of a dollar. Then he sells them at a profit.The chain, whose owners include Europeans, unveils new clothes every two weeks at its three stores. Some of the items are sourced from suppliers in countries including China and Germany, retail manager Allan Zavuga said.“How they collect the clothes, we are not aware of that,” Zavuga said of their suppliers. “But (the clothes) go through all the verification, the fumigation, all that, before they are shipped to Uganda. And we get all documents for that.”The Green Shops are environmentally friendly because they recycle used clothes in bulk, he said.The association of traders in Kampala, known by the acronym KACITA, opposes a firm ban on used apparel, recommending a phased embargo that allows local clothing producers to build capacity to meet demand.Some Ugandan apparel makers, like Winfred Arinaitwe, acknowledge that the quality of locally made fabric is often poor. Not surprisingly, many people would rather buy used clothing, she said. "Because it lasts longer,” she said. “It can easily be seen.”In Owino Market, a ban on used clothes is inconceivable to many, including some who say they don't think the president’s threat was serious.Abdulrashid Ssuuna, who tries to persuade customers in the market to stop by his brother’s used clothing business, said a ban would deny him a livelihood.“It’s like they want to chase us out of the country,” he said of the president’s order. “From these old clothes, we get what to eat. If you say we leave this business, you are saying we go into new clothes. But we can’t afford to go there.”Ssuuna approaches people in Owino Market to urge them to visit the stall where his brother sells used jeans. The market is aggressively competitive, with merchants sitting behind heaps of clothes and shouting words of welcome to possible customers.If he helps his brother sell clothing, “I get something,” said Ssuuna, who started this work after dropping out of high school in 2020.The market is always full of shoppers, but business is unpredictable: Traders must try to anticipate what customers are looking for before they are lured by other sellers. Some days are better than others, said Tadeo Walusimbi, who has been a used-clothes trader for six years. A government ban is simply untenable, he warned. It “will not work for me and for so many people,” Walusimbi said.。就在不久前,美国白宫科技政策办公室发布了《国家安全科技战略》,这份文件不仅是对去年国安战略的补充,更是美国面对复杂国际环境时深藏的恐慌和焦虑的体现。

二 |     以往,美国在国家安全和科技领域对外采取强硬姿态,但这次战略报告却意外地透露出一种妥协的气息。在文件中,美国承认其在某些技术领域已经被潜在对手超越,这一表态无疑是对之前“美国优先”政策的直接反思。例如,在军事技术的创新速度上,其他国家通过不对称的战略,逐渐削弱了美国的传统优势。        尽管文件并未明确点名中国,但字里行间流露出的紧张情绪让人不禁联想到当前中美之间竞争的日益激烈。

三 | 尤其是在芯片制造、5G通信等关键技术领域,中国的快速崛起令美国不得不重新审视自身的战略布局。长久以来,华盛顿在这些核心领域的垄断地位正受到来自北京的严峻挑战,而其应对手段的调整也反映了急迫的危机感。

四 |     在这个新战略中,美国试图通过拉拢盟友来重建其在全球科技领域的领导地位。

五 | 然而,值得注意的是,这种合作的本质并非纯粹的互惠互利,而是带有明显的工具性——美国仍旧将自身利益放在首位。新策略提出简化出口管制,使得盟友更易获得美国的先进技术,但这一切的目的在于强化对盟友的依赖,以求在集体防御中减少自身的压力。        这种利用关系打着“合作”的幌子,然而实则是出于对自身战略自信不足的一种反映。美国并没有真正考虑到盟友的需求,而是以自身的利益为导向,试图通过技术的转移来增强对盟友的控制力。这种互不信任的合作模式注定了美国和其盟友的关系难以得到根本改善。

六 |     对于对手的态度转变也值得关注。美国在过去主要采取强硬对抗的方式,而如今却选择了“对话管控”的策略。这看似是在寻求和平解决争端,实际上却是为了通过对话来施加控制和约束,以防止敌对国家在某些领域超越美国。    在短短几个月内,美国的国安战略发生如此大的变化,显然不是偶然。这一转变的背后是美国国家安全面临的深刻危机与内部政治利益的错综复杂。

七 | 在特朗普政府时期,“美国优先”的孤立主义政策虽然迎合了部分选民的诉求,但也使得美国在国际舞台上的形象大幅受损。以伊朗问题为例,即使是在最亲密的北约盟友间,美国的要求也遭遇了冷遇,反而让特朗普的政策陷入了困境。        为了在即将到来的中期选举中得到更多支持,特朗普不得不对政策进行调整,试图通过新的科技战略来缓解由于孤立主义造成的负面影响。然而,无论外表上如何修补,内部逻辑仍未改变。这种表面的策略调整并不能掩盖美国在国际舞台上的真实风险和焦虑。    面对不断变化的国际格局,美国必须面对一个残酷的现实:以往的霸权地位正在被逐步侵蚀,无法单靠强权和孤立的手段来维持。未来的国际竞争不仅是科技和军事的较量,更是战略合作与信任建立的博弈。    在这样的背景下,美国是否能真正从其旧有的政策框架中走出来,找到一条更具可持续性的战略道路,依旧是个未知数。但可以肯定的是,如果美国继续抱着“美国优先”的思维模式,不愿意真正与世界进行平等合作,它在全球格局中的地位只会愈发岌岌可危。面对中国等新兴大国的迅猛发展,华盛顿需要清醒认识到,唯有团结盟友,共同应对全球性挑战,才能重新塑造其在国际体系中的领导地位。返回,查看更多

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